2011年8月31日 星期三

Latest News Clipping 2011.09.01


Tripoli Divided as Rebels Jostle to Fill Power Vacuum
    August 30, 2011
TRIPOLI, Libya — Fighters from the western mountain city of Zintan control the airport. The fighters from Misurata guard the central bank, the port and the prime minister’s office, where their graffiti has relabeled the historic plaza “Misurata Square.” Berbers from the mountain town Yafran took charge of the city’s central square, where they spray-painted “Yafran Revolutionaries.”

A week after rebels broke into Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi’s former stronghold, much of its territory remains divided into fiefs, each controlled by quasi-independent brigades representing different geographic areas of the country. And the spray paint they use to mark their territory tells the story of a looming leadership crisis in the capital, Tripoli.

The top civilian officials of the Libyan rebels’ Transitional National Council — now styling itself as a provisional government to be based in the capital — are yet to arrive, citing personal safety concerns even as they pronounce the city fully secure.

2.  Aging Baby Boomers May Curb U.S. Expansion
Aug. 30, 2011
This is not your mother’s recovery.

Women and baby boomers entering the American workforce after 1950 helped to supercharge expansions in 1975 and 1983 by filling an increasing number of jobs and purchasing more goods and services. Now as the share of women with jobs falls and older Americans age into retirement, the shrinking -- or, at best, slowly growing -- workforce will weaken economic activity for the next two decades.

The demographic changes may be the biggest and least- appreciated reason why the two-year recovery has slowed, because the rate of growth for labor and capital is “the most important determinant” of economic expansion, said James Paulsen, chief investment strategist for Wells Capital Management in Minneapolis.

More retirees mean slower household formation, reduced consumer spending and downward pressure on equity prices as retirement cuts people’s purchasing power, according to John Lonski, chief economist at Moody’s Capital Markets Group in New York, and Gus Faucher, director of macroeconomics at Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester, Pennsylvania.

3.  Sony, Toshiba, Hitachi to Unload LCD Units to Japan Government-Backed Fund
Aug 31, 2011
Sony Corp. (6758), Toshiba Corp. (6502) and Hitachi Ltd. (6501) agreed to divest their liquid-crystal display businesses to a government-backed fund amid mounting competition from South Korean and Taiwanese producers.

The companies will spin off and merge the units to create Japan Display K.K. next year, the three Tokyo-based electronics makers said today. The government-backed Innovation Network Corp. of Japan will own 70 percent of the venture after a 200 billion yen ($2.6 billion) investment, while Sony, Toshiba and Hitachi will split the remaining 30 percent, they said.

The deal may create the world’s biggest maker of LCDs for mobile phones and cameras as Japanese companies struggle to compete against Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co. and Taiwan’s Chimei Innolux Corp. (3481) in the larger market for television displays. Sony and Hitachi are unprofitable in LCDs, while Toshiba ended losses at its display division last fiscal year.

4.  Japan's new leader: A snowball's chance?
      CNN    Aug. 30, 2011
(CNN) -- In his acceptance as elected leader of the ruling Democratic Party, Japan's new Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda likened his nation's political plight as a snowball falling fast downhill.

"Running Japan's government is like pushing a giant snowball up a snowy, slippery hill," he said. "In times like this, we can't say, 'I don't like this person,' or 'I don't like that person.' The snowball will slide down."

A snowball doesn't stand much chance in Japan these days. As travelers who step off at Narita International Airport immediately notice, things are toasty in Tokyo. The loss of power supply in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear disaster has the government asking businesses to cut electrical consumption by 15% and set temperatures inside public buildings like the Narita terminal at a balmy 28 degrees Celsius (82.4 degree Fahrenheit).

Beyond the heat of power problems and rebuilding from the devastating March 11 earthquake and tsunami, the 54-year old takes leadership of a nation that
has been economically stuck in a decades-long malaise -- saddled with a huge public debt that's being dragged down by the world's fastest aging population and exacerbated by a strong yen, which is hurting profits of Japan's export powerhouses like Toyota and Sony.


5.  ExxonMobil clinches Arctic oil deal with Rosneft
Under the deal, Exxon and Rosneft will invest $3.2bn (£1.9bn) in developing the Arctic Kara Sea
30 August 2011

ExxonMobil's joint venture with Rosneft has dashed any hopes that BP had of reviving its deal with Rosneft that was blocked in May.

Exxon, the world's largest company, and Rosneft signed a deal to develop oil and gas reserves in the Russian Arctic, opening up one of the last unconquered drilling frontiers.

The deal, signed in the presence of Russian prime minister Vladimir Putin, dashes any hopes that BP had of reviving its own deal with Rosneft that was blocked in May by its billionaire partners in an existing Russian venture.

Exxon boss Rex Tillerson and Russia's top energy official deputy prime minister Igor Sechin were with Putin at the signing ceremony in the Black Sea resort of Sochi.

Calling the deal a "truly strategic partnership" and hailing Exxon's experience in exploiting Arctic reserves in Canada, Putin said: "New horizons are opening up. One of the world's leading companies, ExxonMobil, is starting to work on Russia's strategic shelf and deepwater continental shelf," Putin said.

2011年8月24日 星期三

Lastest news clipping 2011.08.25

1.  Rebels launch siege on Gadhafi compound
    CNN    Aug. 23, 2011
Tripoli, Libya (CNN) -- Libyan rebels surrounded Moammar Gadhafi's compound in Tripoli Tuesday, entering one of the gates and "attacking furiously," a rebel official told CNN.

As rebel fighters battled forces loyal to the Libyan leader, NATO also "hit some targets," said Mahmoud Shammam, minister of information for the National Transitional Council.

A CNN crew at a hotel nearby heard ferocious clashes and loud explosions coming from the compound, likely the sound of artillery shells being exchanged.

2.  Hearing set after DA seeks to drop case against Strauss-Kahn
     CNN    Aug. 23, 2011
New York (CNN) -- The attorney for the woman who accused Dominique Strauss-Kahn of sexually assaulting her went on the offensive from Paris Tuesday, with an urgent plea for the disqualification of Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance.

Attorney Douglas Wigdor's news conference came just hours before a judge in New York was to consider a prosecution request to drop the charges against the former chief of the International Monetary Fund, citing questions about Nafissatou Diallo's credibility. A motion filed Monday by Wigdor's law partner, Kenneth Thompson, to disqualify Vance and appoint a special prosecutor, was rejected Tuesday by a judge.

"For the district attorney to now dismiss this case or seek to dismiss this case and turn his back on this victim because of so-called credibility issues is an affront not only on Ms. Diallo but an affront on all victims and sexual victims who come forward in the future," Wigdor said.

A "mountain of physical evidence" points toward a violent sexual assault during a 9-minute period inside Strauss-Kahn's New York hotel suite in May, Widgor told reporters in France, where he is gathering evidence for a civil lawsuit against the French citizen and onetime contender for that nation's presidency.

Prosecutors filed a "recommendation for dismissal" in the case Monday, noting more questions about Diallo's credibility.

"The nature and number of the complainant's falsehoods leave us unable to credit her version of events beyond a reasonable doubt, whatever the truth may be about the encounter between the complainant and the defendant," the document states. "If we do not believe her beyond a reasonable doubt, we cannot ask a jury to do so."

Prosecutors voiced concern that the case appeared to rest exclusively on the housekeeper's account, predicting her "falsehoods" would be "devastating" if revealed during a trial. They claim she "has not been truthful in matters great and small," including lying about a "gang rape, as well as other details about her life in (her native) Guinea."


3.  Stocks may recover. But don't expect much.
CNN     August 22, 2011
描述: chart-sp500-year-to-date.top.gif
Despite the recent turmoil that has pushed major stock indexes into the red for the year, Wall Street experts are hopeful that the market will soon turnaround.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The major stock indexes are now down for the year thanks to the turmoil this August, but Wall Street experts are optimistic that the market will stage a comeback soon.
Investment strategists and money managers expect the S&P 500 will rally back almost 20% before the year is over, according to an exclusive CNNMoney survey. They expect the index to finish at 1,349, 7% higher than the start of the year.

In fact, only one of the 17 experts surveyed by CNNMoney thinks the S&P 500 finish in the red in 2011.
While strategists are calling for a pretty stellar run for the last four months of the year, they aren't as optimistic as they were just two months ago. In June, they were forecasting the S&P 500 to end 2011 with double-digit gains and hit 1,382. That would be a three-year high.
So what's changed?
"There's no doubting that we've entered into a much slower growthenvironment," said Tyler Vernon, Biltmore Capital chief investment officer. "And along with that, our debt has been downgraded and Europe's debt situation has gotten worse. It's really been a perfect storm for a market sell-off in fear."
But, he added that there is at least one constant amid all the uncertainty: corporate profits are still healthy.
"Company balance sheets have stayed really lean and mean since the last financial crisis," said Vernon, whose year-end target for the S&P 500 is right in line with the consensus estimate of 1,349. "Companies haven't hired and profit margins are the highest they've been in history, so they should continue to do fairly well even through this rough patch."
Those sound fundamentals should be enough to bring investors back into the market, especially considering the steep discount stocks are trading at after the recent slides. But Vernon thinks the Federal Reserve will also step in to help give Wall Street a boost.
"It may just be in rhetoric, but I think the Fed has some bullets left, and going into an election year, I think there will be some pressure on Ben Bernanke to keep this market afloat," he said.

2011年8月23日 星期二

必懂經濟指標

1. 公債殖利率:
   義大利、西班牙十年期公債值利率7%
2. VIX恐慌指數
    20~30正常
3. 制造業採購經理人指數(PMI)
    美歐中都不能低於50
4. 消費者物價指數(CPI)年增率
    用來判斷通膨狀況每月第三周公布
5.BDI波羅的海指數
   要回到一千五以上
6.CRB商品指數