2016年11月26日 星期六

Latest News Clips 2016.11.28

                       

1.      Trump Election Boosts European Populists
Spiegel Online,    11/21/2016
Donald Trump's election has bolstered both right-wing and left-wing populist parties in Europe. Despite ideological differences, they share a rejection of the establishment and the liberal order. Are they about to change the world? By SPIEGEL Staff
It is the seventh day after Donald Trump's triumph, an election upset that set off a political earthquake around the world, and time for a visit with those far away from Washington who think like him. Members of France's Front National (FN) are meeting at the five-star Hotel Napoléon in Paris, not far from the Champs-Élysées.
The topics of discussion this evening include disadvantaged youth in the outer districts of the capital, known as the banlieues, and radical Islamists who are recruiting new members there. The mood is explosive in the banlieues, warns the speaker, a resolute blonde woman, who goes on to say it is a ticking time bomb that could go off at any moment. "I am the only one who can defuse this bomb," she adds.
Her words are met with cheers and applause. Marine Le Pen has struck the right note, once again. Here, in the stuffy conference room at the Hotel Napoléon, people want to hear what they have long believed: That Islam constitutes a threat and that France's very future is on the line. Marine, the daughter of Front National co-founder Jean-Marie Le Pen, has been the head of her party for almost six years.
'We Want To Destroy this EU'
The Frenchwoman will soon enter the presidential election campaign under the slogan "Marine 2017." Within a few years, she has managed to garner the support of like-minded individuals, and not just in her native France. Le Pen also chairs the Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF) group in the European Parliament. ENF brings together elected representatives from nine countries, people who share an unmistakable common goal. "We want to destroy this EU," says Le Pen.
Less than two weeks after the election of the new US president, Europe's anti-establishment parties are feeling the wind in their sails. "A Trump victory was considered unthinkable," says Le Pen, who sent the billionaire her euphoric congratulatory message on Twitter on the night of the election. "Our life has changed," Nigel Farage of Britain's UK Independence Party (UKIP) says over a gin & tonic in the lounge of European Parliament in Brussels. In Vienna, Heinz-Christian Strache of the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) proudly reports that he has already reached out to Trump advisers in Washington. And in Dresden, Frauke Petry of the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany party is planning to announce her candidacy in the 2017 Bundestag election, which is likely to see AfD land seats in federal parliament for the first time.
Populist leaders, who see themselves as the only true representatives of the people, have long known and respected each other. But the days of backroom deals are now over. Le Pen is flirting with her fellow European populists on the open stage: here a kiss of the hand for Marine in Vienna, there a chuckle and a joke with Geert Wilders in The Hague and even a little dance with Matteo Salvini, leader of the separatist Lega Nord in Italy.
The British "yes" vote on withdrawing from the EU and the American "yes" vote for Donald Trump are supposedly merely the first stations on the road to a global political upheaval. The "democratic revolution" has only just begun, says Brexit propagandist Farage. "There are plenty more shocks to come." And the chief strategist of the Front National, Florian Philippot, tweeted on the morning after Trump's election: "Their world is collapsing. Ours is being built."
In two weeks, Austria will hold a re-vote of its 2015 presidential election, in which FPÖ politician Norbert Hofer stands a strong chance of winning. Parliamentary elections are scheduled for March in the Netherlands, where Geert Wilders of the radical anti-Islamist Freedom Party (PVV) is ahead in the polls. The French will then vote for a new president in April and May, and Le Pen stands a good chance of making it to the second round of voting as the frontrunner. Finally, Germans will vote in the fall on the future composition of the Bundestag.
A G-7 summit in 2017 with Trump, Le Pen, Boris Johnson and Beppe Grillo -- instead of US President Barack Obama, French President François Hollande, former British Prime Minister David Cameron and Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi -- would be a "horror scenario," Martin Selmayr, the head of the cabinet of European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker tweeted in May. Now, half a year later, Cameron and Obama are already history, Hollande is viewed as a defeated man and Renzi can be justifiably concerned about his political survival on Dec. 4, when Italians are slated to vote in a referendum on a planned constitutional reform.
The lesson from the most recent events is this: Even crass outsiders have the ability to fundamentally change the policies of a country. Farage's UKIP holds only one seat in the parliament in Westminster, and yet it played a key role in the Brexit with its warnings of foreign infiltration on a large scale. Trump, meanwhile, succeeded in winning the election even against substantial resistance within his own party.

2.      Which Supplements, if Any, May Be Worth Your Money
The New York Times      NOV. 21, 2016
Hardly a day goes by that people don’t tell me that one or more dietary supplement has cured or prevented an ailment of theirs or suggest that I try one to treat a problem of my own. And I am not immune to wishful thinking that an over-the-counter vitamin, mineral or herb may help to keep me healthy or relieve some distress without having to see a doctor.
I have succumbed to several popular suggestions, including melatonin and magnesium to improve my sleep, glucosamine-chondroitin to counter arthritic pain and fish oil to protect my brain and heart. I take these even knowing that irrefutable, scientifically established evidence for such benefits is lacking and I may be paying mightily for a placebo effect.
But as a scientifically trained journalist, I feel obliged to help others make rational decisions about which, if any, dietary supplements may be worth their hard-earned dollars. I’ll start with the bottom line on the most popular of these, the daily multivitamin/mineral combo: If you are a healthy adult with no known nutritional deficiencies, save your money.
An independent panel convened by the National Institutes of Health concluded that evidence is lacking for or against the ability of a multivitamin to prevent chronic disease. The American Cancer Society, the American Heart Association and the United States Preventive Services Task Force, among others, have found no role for a one-a-day supplement to prevent cancer or heart disease; they recommend instead a balanced dietwith a variety of foods as likely to be more effective than any capsule.
This does not mean that people shown to be deficient in one or another nutrient should refrain from taking a medically recommended supplement. For example, now that doctors routinely test for vitamin D levels, especially in older adults, nearly everyone I know, myself included, is taking 1,000 international units or more of this nutrient every day, primarily to support bone health. Without sufficient vitamin D, the body doesn’t absorb enough calcium and phosphorus from the diet to keep bones strong. Nonetheless, it has not yet been proved that vitamin D supplements prevent fractures.
People’s calcium levels, too, may be problematic following a significant decline in Americans’ milk consumption in recent decades, even though calcium sources like yogurt, cheese and ice cream remain popular. By consuming adequate amounts of calcium-rich foods, including fat-free milk (lactose-free) and dark-green leafy vegetables, I’ve been able to skip a calcium supplement, which can be constipating or worse.
An analysis of 15 studies in 2010 suggested that calcium supplements raised the risk of a heart attack by about 30 percent although the latest guideline, based on observational studies, suggests no excess cardiovascular risk from a combined calcium intake of 2,500 milligrams from food and supplements. Calcium taken as a supplement can also result in kidney stones and gastrointestinal problems, risks that some researchers concluded were not justified by its limited ability to prevent fractures.
While the findings were both supported and countered by subsequent research, many experts emphasize that diet is the much preferred source of calcium, reserving supplements for people who already have osteoporosis, have broken bones or face a significant fracture risk.
For adults over 50, blood levels of vitamin B12 can become low enough to compromise healthy brain and muscle function. Animal protein foods are the primary dietary source of this nutrient, but if stomach acid levels are low, it cannot be separated from its carrier protein and thus is not well absorbed. A B12 deficiency can be detected with a blood test and, if confirmed, countered with a daily supplement of perhaps 500 or 1,000 micrograms.
Then there’s fish oil, usually taken in hopes of preventing heart disease and cognitive decline. The supplements contain two key omega-3 fatty acids important to brain function and preventing inflammation, a significant factor in heart disease. I began taking fish oil supplements many years ago hoping to counter the effects of a rising cholesterol level.
However, a 2013 study of more than 12,000 patients at high risk of a heart attack found no protection from fish oil supplements. And another major study that year linked fish oil supplements to a raised risk of prostate cancer, especially an aggressive form of the disease, suggesting that men may be better off getting these fatty acids from a serving or two a week of an oily fish.
Magnesium, a mineral important to muscle function, is another supplement growing in popularity. People who routinely take acid-suppressing medication and those with kidney disease or Crohn’s disease can develop a magnesium deficiency, which can be detected with a blood test. Best sources of this mineral remain foods like spinach, nuts, legumes and whole-grain cereals.
However, studies have not borne out claims that magnesium supplements can prevent muscle cramps and especially night leg cramps, though they seem to have helped me and a friend of mine. I also find them useful to counter a chronic problem with constipation.

3.      In the future, will farming be fully automated?
BBC     25 November 2016
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In the not-too-distant future, our fields could be tilled, sown, tended and harvested entirely by fleets of co-operating autonomous machines by land and air.
And they'll be working both day and night.
Driverless tractors that can follow pre-programmed routes are already being deployed at large farms around the world.
Drones are buzzing over fields assessing crop health and soil conditions. Ground sensors are monitoring the amount of water and nutrients in the soil, triggering irrigation and fertiliser applications.
And in Japan, the world's first entirely automated lettuce farm is due for launch next year.

Food shortages, big business
The World Bank says we'll need to produce 50% more food by 2050 if the global population continues to rise at its current pace.
But the effects of climate change could see crop yields falling by more than a quarter.
So autonomous tractors, ground-based sensors, flying drones and enclosed hydroponic farms could all help farmers produce more food, more sustainably at lower cost.
No wonder the agricultural robotics sector is growing so fast.
One report, by US firm WinterGreen Research, forecasts that the market will grow from $817m (£655m) in 2013 to $16.3bn (£13bn) by 2020.
But investment bank Goldman Sachs is far more bullish, predicting a $240bn market over the next five years. Manufacturers including John Deere, CNH Industrial and AGCO are all fighting to corner the market in driverless tractors.
As well as big kit, small kit is giving farmers up-to-the-second data on the state of their fields and produce - what Dr Roland Leidenfrost of Deepfield Robotics calls the "internet of plants and fields".
Bosch start-up Deepfield, based in Germany, is working to automate the growing and testing of seed crops, tracking the susceptibility to weeds and drought of different genetic varieties.
Meanwhile, engineers in Shropshire, England, are trying to show it is now possible to farm a field without a human setting foot in it at all.
The Hands Free Hectare project will use flying drones and automated tractors in the coming year to grow and harvest a cereal crop.

Engineers from Harper Adams University - together with a North Yorkshire farming technology company called Precision Decisions - are testing prototype machines now, and aim to plant their crop in March for harvest in September.


2016年11月20日 星期日

Latest News Clips 2016 .11.21


1.      Inside Donald Trump’s Chaotic Transition
Time   Nov. 17, 2016


Mike Segar—REUTERS“I think I’m a sober person. I think the press tries to make you into something a little bit different. In my case, a little bit of a wild man. I’m not. I’m actually not. I’m a very sober person.” Nov. 11, interview with 60 Minutes
The President-elect lays the groundwork for his January move into the Oval Office. But he's quickly learning that politicians campaign, Presidents govern. Inside the chaotic first days of Donald J. Trump's transition to power, it's clear that he faces a steep learning curve

Donald Trump spent the hours after he won the White House perched in his 26th-floor office as a long line of well-wishers cycled through with grand ideas about his government. The President-elect contemplated his visit to the White House the next day to set in motion one of the most unexpected transitions of power America has seen in its history. But first: something special. As he gazed out on Central Park, Trump mused about a weekend victory tour to places that delivered his surprise win, sending aides scurrying to prepare. Trump had fed off the energy of his audiences for the 17-month campaign, and he wanted one final fix. He was a winner, and winners are rewarded.

Trump’s aides, who themselves were just coming to grips with the enormity of the task they faced, nearly all implored their boss to focus on the decidedly unsexy task of putting together a government instead. In the end Trump agreed, and in the process perhaps revealed the most important lesson of his first week as leader-of-the-free-world-in-waiting: only when he faces a united front will he reverse one of his decisions. It was an all-voices-on-deck moment for the Trump-whispering group of advisers known as the Foxhole amongst themselves, and as the Avengers to the outsiders.

If the week after Election Day is designed to be a pageant of peaceful transition, it is also a period for the brutal consolidation of power. The winners decide who from the campaign stays and who goes, while losers lick their wounds and look for answers. In the aftermath of Election 2016, those dramas played out for the American public like never before, plus they got a close look at the 45th President as he started working out both in private and in public what sort of leader he would become.

Surprise is almost always part of the deal. During one lull in daydreaming on Nov. 9, Trump picked up the phone and had a brief conversation with the man who for months had been working to move the political operation from a New York campaign to a Washington machine. “Are we all set?” he asked New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, a longtime pal who combined governing experience with brashness to rival Trump’s. It was a work in progress. On Election Day, Christie had signed the legally required memorandum of understanding with the White House to begin the formal transfer of power. But the entire Cabinet-in-waiting was an open question, along with everyone at the White House, from the party planners and receptionist to his top policy wonks and the men and women who would explain it all to the public.

In the American system, a President has more than 4,000 political appointments to begin filling in the crucial weeks between election and inauguration. Christie had made many trips to Washington to set up a transition, but progress had slowed as the polls seemed to indicate no such effort would ultimately be needed. It wasn’t long before the first transition to take place was Christie’s. The New Jersey governor had never been a favorite of conservatives, or of Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, whose father Christie had sent to jail years ago for making illegal campaign contributions, tax evasion and tampering with a witness. By Nov. 10, Christie had breakfast with Vice President–elect Mike Pence in New York, and it wasn’t long after that Pence had replaced Christie as transition chief. Christie could stay around with a title if he wanted, but everyone suspected his days as a member of the formal inner circle were over. Days later, even those close to Christie, like intelligence expert and former Representative Mike Rogers and Christie attorney William Palatucci, would be purged as well. Trump subsequently called Rogers, trying to bring him back.

Christie was still fielding calls from Trump after the shake-up. “This thing is heading into a bridge abutment. It didn’t have to be this way,” one senior Republican involved in the transition said of the turmoil. “But it is.”

There was little doubt about who in Trumpland signed Christie’s execution order. Kushner, 35, the boyish-looking son of another real estate magnate, who is married to Ivanka Trump, had been the hidden hand within the campaign since June, when the family became convinced his existing team was ill-prepared for the challenge of running a general election. Kushner, a real estate and media executive, had little experience in elective politics or governing. But with his unfettered access to Trump and his cherished older daughter, he came to become the shadow campaign manager. His role in the White House, whatever it is, will be among the most important to watch.

There were suggestions, no proof, but hints, certainly, that the Donald Trump who has emerged through the crucible of the campaign as President-elect is not the same as the one who closed out the campaign, with a defiant blitz of bombast that covered eight states in the final two days. The new Trump looked and sounded almost subdued. “It’s enormous,” he told Lesley Stahl of 60 Minutes during his first broadcast interview as President-elect a few days later. “I’ve done a lot of big things. I’ve never done anything like this.”

Instead of repeating his calls to imprison Hillary Clinton for behavior the FBI said didn’t rise to the level of indictment, he praised his rival and her husband, the ex-President, for their gracious phone calls after the upset. “I don’t want to hurt them. They are good people,” he told Stahl. He again mentioned that he’d work to save parts of Obamacare and not work for a wholesale repeal, though he had said such things before. And he suggested, once again, that he would reconsider his plan for mass deportations of those in the country illegally but had not committed violent crimes. As for the wall at the Mexican border, he signaled that he would be fine with fencing in some places.

But key features of the man had not changed. He still wanted to revisit trade deals and loved his Twitter account, which returned to frequent media criticism. In business and politics, Trump had always prided himself on unpredictability. “It’s a great form of communication. Now, do I say I’ll give it up entirely,” he told CBS. “I’m not saying I love it, but it does get the word out.” And he seemed to delight in the first week of his new power in keeping the country guessing. “I am the only one who knows who the finalists are!” he tweeted, discussing his Cabinet picks.

Two days after voters chose, when Trump flew to D.C. to meet with the man he would succeed, it was clear that the reality part of his great political reality show was setting in. He sounded sober and avoided eye contact after he and Barack Obama talked for an hour and a half about the weight of the world that would transfer from one man’s shoulders to the other’s. “This office has a way of waking you up,” Obama helpfully observed on Nov. 14. He emphasized the need for Trump to hire the best people for the really important jobs.
2.      South Korea’s President Must Go
The New York Times  NOV. 9, 2016

Protesters wearing masks of President Park Geun-hye of Korea, forward, and her confidante Choi Soon-sil, rear, in Seoul last month. CreditJung Yeon-Je/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

SEOUL, South Korea — President Park Geun-hye of South Korea was destined to be a political leader. She grew up in the presidential residence as a daughter of South Korea’s longest-ruling dictator, Park Chung-hee. After her mother died in a 1974 assassination attempt against her father, Ms. Park became the country’s de facto first lady. She later was a lawmaker for 15 years, crafting an image as a deft politician while helping to build a conservative party with national security and economic growth as its core message. She became the country’s first female president in 2013.  

Ms. Park’s personal history and image as a corruption-free conservative have been her main political assets. But that image quickly faded in September when the news media began looking at her longtime confidante, Choi Soon-sil. Ms. Choi is accused of using her connection to the president to extort money, advance her own daughter’s career and influence government policy.
The nation was first stunned, then enraged, by the revelations. By some estimates, 200,000 people took to downtown Seoul on Saturday to demand Ms. Park’s resignation. The government has come to a standstill, and Ms. Park’s approval ratings are in the single digits.
The relationship between Ms. Park and Ms. Choi apparently began after the death of Ms. Park’s mother. Ms. Choi’s father, Choi Tae-min, reportedly approached the young Ms. Park with the claim that he could make contact with her dead mother. Mr. Choi, a shadowy cult leader, died in 1994, but the connection between Ms. Choi and Ms. Park deepened over the decades.
Until recently, the public did not know just how much influence Ms. Choi had over Ms. Park. According to the left-leaning newspaper Hankyoreh, two foundations under Ms. Choi’s control were ushered through the government approval process at record speed. Some of South Korea’s top companies donated tens of millions of dollars to them, and some of that money was then funneled to Germany, where Ms. Choi owns real estate and several shell companies. In a parallel case, Ms. Choi is said to have used her connection to the president to win special treatment for her daughter.
The allegations have snowballed as journalists have continued to dig. Ms. Park is accused of allowing Ms. Choi to influence government policies, including the decision to close an inter-Korean industrial complex in Kaesong, North Korea. Ms. Choi edited Ms. Park’s speeches, reportedly placed her associates in positions of power in the government and helped her cronies win lucrative government contracts. She has been detained by the authorities since Oct. 31.
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South Koreans are hardly naïve about the failings of politicians. Embezzlement and influence-peddling are common. Ms. Park, though, had always appeared above the fray, which is one reason, along with Ms. Choi’s shady family background, she has fallen so hard, so quickly.

3.      Narendra Modi Bans India’s Largest Currency Bills in Bid to Cut Corruption
The New York Times     NOV. 8, 2016

India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, who campaigned on an anticorruption platform, announced a ban on the country’s largest currency bills. CreditAmit Dave/Reuters
NEW DELHI — Prime Minister Narendra Modi fired a direct shot at India’s endemic corruption with a surprise move on Tuesday to ban the country’s largest currency bills, starting the next morning.
The ban is intended both to curb the flow of counterfeit money and to take aim at terrorist organizations that rely on unaccounted-for cash. It is also expected to help the government clean up a system that has relied on cash to pay bribes and to avoid taxes.
But the announcement, made on national television in both Hindi and English, led to an immediate upheaval in the country. Abolishing the current version of the 500 and 1,000 rupee notes, worth about $8 and $15, will effectively remove 80 percent of the currency in circulation.
Mr. Modi said banks would be closed on Wednesday. After that, people can exchange the banned notes through the end of the year for those of smaller denominations or new bills that are being created.

A.T.M.s around the country were overrun Tuesday night with people confused about the plan and trying to complete financial transactions before the machines closed the following day. In some places, hundreds stood in line in front of a single A.T.M.
Cash is so prevalent in Indian society that the ban came with a 72-hour exception for paying for hospital bills and airline tickets. India’s low-cost carrier, IndiGo Airlines, sent an email warning customers that banned notes could not be used to purchase in-flight services or to pay excess baggage charges.
The decision amounted to a “surgical strike” on the country’s vast amount of unaccounted-for cash, said Manish Kejriwal, founder of Kedaara Capital Advisors, a Mumbai private equity firm, using a military term.
“This is Modi’s transformational reform,” said Deepak Parekh, chairman of Housing Development Finance Corporation, one of India’s largest mortgage lenders.
“It will be disruptive, it will be inconvenient, but in the medium term, it will be very good.”
Mr. Modi was elected in 2014 after running on an anticorruption platform that included a pledge to fight unaccounted-for cash, also referred to as “black money.” The results have been mixed.
Under one tax amnesty program, Indians owned up this year to about $10 billion in income on which taxes had not been paid, the Modi administration said last month. But another effort encouraging people to declare hidden assets and income abroad met with limited success.
“There’s a perception that whatever he has done on the corruption front is not enough,” said Harsh Pant, a professor of international relations at King’s College London, noting that elections in India’s most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, were expected to take place early next year. “Politically he probably felt he needed to do something more visible.”
While the currency plan had been under discussion for some time, few had expected such a bold step. Mr. Modi kept the decision quiet to prevent holders of vast amounts of unaccounted-for cash from outwitting the ban.
The problems run deep.

Global Financial Integrity, a Washington think tank, has estimated that India lost $344 billion in illicit outflows of money in the decade leading up to 2011.
But it is unclear what the full impact of the ban will be. Studies have shown that corruption can be curtailed by reducing cash transactions, but it is unlikely to be eliminated by the move.