2016年11月20日 星期日

Latest News Clips 2016 .11.21


1.      Inside Donald Trump’s Chaotic Transition
Time   Nov. 17, 2016


Mike Segar—REUTERS“I think I’m a sober person. I think the press tries to make you into something a little bit different. In my case, a little bit of a wild man. I’m not. I’m actually not. I’m a very sober person.” Nov. 11, interview with 60 Minutes
The President-elect lays the groundwork for his January move into the Oval Office. But he's quickly learning that politicians campaign, Presidents govern. Inside the chaotic first days of Donald J. Trump's transition to power, it's clear that he faces a steep learning curve

Donald Trump spent the hours after he won the White House perched in his 26th-floor office as a long line of well-wishers cycled through with grand ideas about his government. The President-elect contemplated his visit to the White House the next day to set in motion one of the most unexpected transitions of power America has seen in its history. But first: something special. As he gazed out on Central Park, Trump mused about a weekend victory tour to places that delivered his surprise win, sending aides scurrying to prepare. Trump had fed off the energy of his audiences for the 17-month campaign, and he wanted one final fix. He was a winner, and winners are rewarded.

Trump’s aides, who themselves were just coming to grips with the enormity of the task they faced, nearly all implored their boss to focus on the decidedly unsexy task of putting together a government instead. In the end Trump agreed, and in the process perhaps revealed the most important lesson of his first week as leader-of-the-free-world-in-waiting: only when he faces a united front will he reverse one of his decisions. It was an all-voices-on-deck moment for the Trump-whispering group of advisers known as the Foxhole amongst themselves, and as the Avengers to the outsiders.

If the week after Election Day is designed to be a pageant of peaceful transition, it is also a period for the brutal consolidation of power. The winners decide who from the campaign stays and who goes, while losers lick their wounds and look for answers. In the aftermath of Election 2016, those dramas played out for the American public like never before, plus they got a close look at the 45th President as he started working out both in private and in public what sort of leader he would become.

Surprise is almost always part of the deal. During one lull in daydreaming on Nov. 9, Trump picked up the phone and had a brief conversation with the man who for months had been working to move the political operation from a New York campaign to a Washington machine. “Are we all set?” he asked New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, a longtime pal who combined governing experience with brashness to rival Trump’s. It was a work in progress. On Election Day, Christie had signed the legally required memorandum of understanding with the White House to begin the formal transfer of power. But the entire Cabinet-in-waiting was an open question, along with everyone at the White House, from the party planners and receptionist to his top policy wonks and the men and women who would explain it all to the public.

In the American system, a President has more than 4,000 political appointments to begin filling in the crucial weeks between election and inauguration. Christie had made many trips to Washington to set up a transition, but progress had slowed as the polls seemed to indicate no such effort would ultimately be needed. It wasn’t long before the first transition to take place was Christie’s. The New Jersey governor had never been a favorite of conservatives, or of Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, whose father Christie had sent to jail years ago for making illegal campaign contributions, tax evasion and tampering with a witness. By Nov. 10, Christie had breakfast with Vice President–elect Mike Pence in New York, and it wasn’t long after that Pence had replaced Christie as transition chief. Christie could stay around with a title if he wanted, but everyone suspected his days as a member of the formal inner circle were over. Days later, even those close to Christie, like intelligence expert and former Representative Mike Rogers and Christie attorney William Palatucci, would be purged as well. Trump subsequently called Rogers, trying to bring him back.

Christie was still fielding calls from Trump after the shake-up. “This thing is heading into a bridge abutment. It didn’t have to be this way,” one senior Republican involved in the transition said of the turmoil. “But it is.”

There was little doubt about who in Trumpland signed Christie’s execution order. Kushner, 35, the boyish-looking son of another real estate magnate, who is married to Ivanka Trump, had been the hidden hand within the campaign since June, when the family became convinced his existing team was ill-prepared for the challenge of running a general election. Kushner, a real estate and media executive, had little experience in elective politics or governing. But with his unfettered access to Trump and his cherished older daughter, he came to become the shadow campaign manager. His role in the White House, whatever it is, will be among the most important to watch.

There were suggestions, no proof, but hints, certainly, that the Donald Trump who has emerged through the crucible of the campaign as President-elect is not the same as the one who closed out the campaign, with a defiant blitz of bombast that covered eight states in the final two days. The new Trump looked and sounded almost subdued. “It’s enormous,” he told Lesley Stahl of 60 Minutes during his first broadcast interview as President-elect a few days later. “I’ve done a lot of big things. I’ve never done anything like this.”

Instead of repeating his calls to imprison Hillary Clinton for behavior the FBI said didn’t rise to the level of indictment, he praised his rival and her husband, the ex-President, for their gracious phone calls after the upset. “I don’t want to hurt them. They are good people,” he told Stahl. He again mentioned that he’d work to save parts of Obamacare and not work for a wholesale repeal, though he had said such things before. And he suggested, once again, that he would reconsider his plan for mass deportations of those in the country illegally but had not committed violent crimes. As for the wall at the Mexican border, he signaled that he would be fine with fencing in some places.

But key features of the man had not changed. He still wanted to revisit trade deals and loved his Twitter account, which returned to frequent media criticism. In business and politics, Trump had always prided himself on unpredictability. “It’s a great form of communication. Now, do I say I’ll give it up entirely,” he told CBS. “I’m not saying I love it, but it does get the word out.” And he seemed to delight in the first week of his new power in keeping the country guessing. “I am the only one who knows who the finalists are!” he tweeted, discussing his Cabinet picks.

Two days after voters chose, when Trump flew to D.C. to meet with the man he would succeed, it was clear that the reality part of his great political reality show was setting in. He sounded sober and avoided eye contact after he and Barack Obama talked for an hour and a half about the weight of the world that would transfer from one man’s shoulders to the other’s. “This office has a way of waking you up,” Obama helpfully observed on Nov. 14. He emphasized the need for Trump to hire the best people for the really important jobs.
2.      South Korea’s President Must Go
The New York Times  NOV. 9, 2016

Protesters wearing masks of President Park Geun-hye of Korea, forward, and her confidante Choi Soon-sil, rear, in Seoul last month. CreditJung Yeon-Je/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

SEOUL, South Korea — President Park Geun-hye of South Korea was destined to be a political leader. She grew up in the presidential residence as a daughter of South Korea’s longest-ruling dictator, Park Chung-hee. After her mother died in a 1974 assassination attempt against her father, Ms. Park became the country’s de facto first lady. She later was a lawmaker for 15 years, crafting an image as a deft politician while helping to build a conservative party with national security and economic growth as its core message. She became the country’s first female president in 2013.  

Ms. Park’s personal history and image as a corruption-free conservative have been her main political assets. But that image quickly faded in September when the news media began looking at her longtime confidante, Choi Soon-sil. Ms. Choi is accused of using her connection to the president to extort money, advance her own daughter’s career and influence government policy.
The nation was first stunned, then enraged, by the revelations. By some estimates, 200,000 people took to downtown Seoul on Saturday to demand Ms. Park’s resignation. The government has come to a standstill, and Ms. Park’s approval ratings are in the single digits.
The relationship between Ms. Park and Ms. Choi apparently began after the death of Ms. Park’s mother. Ms. Choi’s father, Choi Tae-min, reportedly approached the young Ms. Park with the claim that he could make contact with her dead mother. Mr. Choi, a shadowy cult leader, died in 1994, but the connection between Ms. Choi and Ms. Park deepened over the decades.
Until recently, the public did not know just how much influence Ms. Choi had over Ms. Park. According to the left-leaning newspaper Hankyoreh, two foundations under Ms. Choi’s control were ushered through the government approval process at record speed. Some of South Korea’s top companies donated tens of millions of dollars to them, and some of that money was then funneled to Germany, where Ms. Choi owns real estate and several shell companies. In a parallel case, Ms. Choi is said to have used her connection to the president to win special treatment for her daughter.
The allegations have snowballed as journalists have continued to dig. Ms. Park is accused of allowing Ms. Choi to influence government policies, including the decision to close an inter-Korean industrial complex in Kaesong, North Korea. Ms. Choi edited Ms. Park’s speeches, reportedly placed her associates in positions of power in the government and helped her cronies win lucrative government contracts. She has been detained by the authorities since Oct. 31.
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South Koreans are hardly naïve about the failings of politicians. Embezzlement and influence-peddling are common. Ms. Park, though, had always appeared above the fray, which is one reason, along with Ms. Choi’s shady family background, she has fallen so hard, so quickly.

3.      Narendra Modi Bans India’s Largest Currency Bills in Bid to Cut Corruption
The New York Times     NOV. 8, 2016

India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, who campaigned on an anticorruption platform, announced a ban on the country’s largest currency bills. CreditAmit Dave/Reuters
NEW DELHI — Prime Minister Narendra Modi fired a direct shot at India’s endemic corruption with a surprise move on Tuesday to ban the country’s largest currency bills, starting the next morning.
The ban is intended both to curb the flow of counterfeit money and to take aim at terrorist organizations that rely on unaccounted-for cash. It is also expected to help the government clean up a system that has relied on cash to pay bribes and to avoid taxes.
But the announcement, made on national television in both Hindi and English, led to an immediate upheaval in the country. Abolishing the current version of the 500 and 1,000 rupee notes, worth about $8 and $15, will effectively remove 80 percent of the currency in circulation.
Mr. Modi said banks would be closed on Wednesday. After that, people can exchange the banned notes through the end of the year for those of smaller denominations or new bills that are being created.

A.T.M.s around the country were overrun Tuesday night with people confused about the plan and trying to complete financial transactions before the machines closed the following day. In some places, hundreds stood in line in front of a single A.T.M.
Cash is so prevalent in Indian society that the ban came with a 72-hour exception for paying for hospital bills and airline tickets. India’s low-cost carrier, IndiGo Airlines, sent an email warning customers that banned notes could not be used to purchase in-flight services or to pay excess baggage charges.
The decision amounted to a “surgical strike” on the country’s vast amount of unaccounted-for cash, said Manish Kejriwal, founder of Kedaara Capital Advisors, a Mumbai private equity firm, using a military term.
“This is Modi’s transformational reform,” said Deepak Parekh, chairman of Housing Development Finance Corporation, one of India’s largest mortgage lenders.
“It will be disruptive, it will be inconvenient, but in the medium term, it will be very good.”
Mr. Modi was elected in 2014 after running on an anticorruption platform that included a pledge to fight unaccounted-for cash, also referred to as “black money.” The results have been mixed.
Under one tax amnesty program, Indians owned up this year to about $10 billion in income on which taxes had not been paid, the Modi administration said last month. But another effort encouraging people to declare hidden assets and income abroad met with limited success.
“There’s a perception that whatever he has done on the corruption front is not enough,” said Harsh Pant, a professor of international relations at King’s College London, noting that elections in India’s most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, were expected to take place early next year. “Politically he probably felt he needed to do something more visible.”
While the currency plan had been under discussion for some time, few had expected such a bold step. Mr. Modi kept the decision quiet to prevent holders of vast amounts of unaccounted-for cash from outwitting the ban.
The problems run deep.

Global Financial Integrity, a Washington think tank, has estimated that India lost $344 billion in illicit outflows of money in the decade leading up to 2011.
But it is unclear what the full impact of the ban will be. Studies have shown that corruption can be curtailed by reducing cash transactions, but it is unlikely to be eliminated by the move.


2016年9月3日 星期六

Latest News Clips 2016.09.05

                     
1.      Apple Owes $14.5 Billion in Back Taxes to Ireland, E.U. Says
The New York Times   AUG. 30, 2016

The European Union on Tuesday ordered Ireland to collect $14.5 billion in unpaid taxes from Apple, a record penalty that worsened tensions with the United States over the bloc’s crackdown on sweetheart deals with global multinationals.
Europe’s competition enforcer said that Apple’s illegal deals with the Irish government allowed the technology giant to pay virtually nothing on its European business in some years. The arrangements enabled Apple to funnel profit from two Irish subsidiaries to a “head office” with “no employees, no premises, no real activities,” the commission said.

By doing so, Apple paid only 50 euros in taxes for every million euros in profit during 2014. As part of its ruling, Europe demanded that Ireland recoup 10 years’ worth of back taxes, some 13 billion euros, or about $14.5 billion, plus interest.
The amount is a drop in the bucket for Apple, which has a total cash pile of more than $230 billion. Even so, the company described the order as a “devastating blow” to the rule of law. The United States Treasury Department said it jeopardized “the important spirit of economic partnership between the U.S. and the E.U.”
Since taking over as competition commissioner, Margrethe Vestager, has made tax avoidance a central focus, a campaign that has also ensnaredStarbucks in the NetherlandsAmazon in Luxembourg and Anheuser-Busch InBev in Belgium. The United States Treasury, one of the most vocal critics of these moves, has said that Europe is overstepping its power, unfairly targeting American companies and hurting global efforts to curtail tax avoidance.

The United States government is an unlikely advocate. Politicians have berated Apple for paying too little by setting up complex and opaque tax structures. Officials have hit back against corporate mergers that allowed companies to move their headquarters to places like Ireland to take advantage of lower tax rates.
But the positioning in the Apple case reflects a political tug of war over big profitable companies, their potential tax bounty and the rights to regulate them.
“U.S. companies are the grandmasters of tax avoidance,” said Edward D. Kleinbard, professor at the Gould School of Law at the University of Southern California and a former chief of staff to the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation.

 “Nevertheless, because of the nature of U.S. politics,” he said, the Apple case “will be framed by the U.S. as Europe overreaching and discriminating against ‘our team.’”
Since early this year, Ms. Vestager and Jacob J. Lew, the United States Treasury secretary, and their teams have met regularly to discuss Europe’s state-aid tax investigations. Mr. Lew visited Brussels in July to put forward the American perspective.
Last week, the Treasury Department released a report criticizing any moves to recoup back taxes from American companies. Politicians also chimed in after the Apple decision.
Senator Chuck Schumer, Democrat of New York, called it a “cheap money grab” by the European Commission, “targeting U.S. businesses and the U.S. tax base.” The Senate Finance Committee chairman, Orrin G. Hatch, said that the decision “encroaches on U.S. tax jurisdiction.”
Apple and Ireland had similar defenses.
Timothy D. Cook, the chief executive of the technology company, said that Europe’s ruling had “no basis in fact or in law,” and called it an effort to “rewrite Apple’s history in Europe, ignore Ireland’s tax laws and upend the international tax system in the process.” The company called the effective tax rate “a completely made-up number.”

2.      Donald Trump and Mexican Leader Clash in Accounts of Meeting
The New York Times  AUG. 31, 2016
Donald J. Trump and President Enrique Peña Nieto held a joint press conference in Mexico City on Wednesday. CreditRodrigo Cruz for The New York Times
Donald J. Trump swept into Mexico City on Wednesday on a politically perilous mission to prove his mettle as a negotiator by facing a nation that he has repeatedly denigrated and has promised to compel to pay for a border wall.

But Mr. Trump’s efforts at diplomacy in a meeting with Mexico’s leader,Enrique Peña Nieto, quickly backfired: Mr. Trump said that the two men did not discuss financing for the wall, one of his signature immigration issues, while Mr. Peña Nieto said later on Twitter that at the start of their meeting, “I made it clear that Mexico will not pay for the wall.”

Mr. Trump had accepted an invitation from Mr. Peña Nieto, and met with him at the presidential palace to discuss economic and border concerns while sidestepping combustible issues and ignoring raging hostility from average Mexicans. Mr. Trump has called them rapists and drug dealers, and he did not apologize for those remarks during a joint news conference when a reporter pressed him for any regrets.

Instead, as an impassive Mr. Peña Nieto looked on, Mr. Trump sounded conciliatory themes about working together to improve border security and said that he did not challenge the Mexican president over paying for his proposed wall. Gone, at least for this foreign trip, were the threats about American interests and superiority that have defined Mr. Trump’s candidacy and electrified his supporters.

“We did discuss the wall, we didn’t discuss payment of the wall — that will be for a later date,” Mr. Trump said. “This was a very preliminary meeting. I think it was an excellent meeting.”
Mr. Peña Nieto did not dispute Mr. Trump’s words about the wall during their news conference. Instead, the president, who pointedly emphasized goals like “mutual respect” and “constructive” relations several times in his remarks, did Mr. Trump some favors with his respectful treatment: The Mexican president acknowledged that every country had a “right” to protect its own border, and suggested that Mr. Trump wanted to move on from his antagonistic remarks of the past.

“The Mexican people felt aggrieved by those comments,” Mr. Peña Nieto said. “But I am certain that he has a genuine interest in building a relationship that would lead us to provide better conditions to our people”

Mr. Trump’s unexpected trip to Mexico was also timed to steer attention from his significant shifts on immigration policy, particularly his all-but-official disavowal of past promises to deploy a “deportation force” to swiftly remove all 11 million undocumented immigrants in the United States. He flew to Mexico just hours before he was scheduled to deliver a major speech on immigration on Wednesday night in Phoenix after more than a week of mixed signals about his immigration views, which he said were “softening” and then “hardening” in the space of two days last week.

But he also took a gamble with his visit: that he would remain coolheaded with a potential adversary and come across as both strong and humble, and that Mr. Peña Nieto would not surprise him with a rebuke. While he was diplomatic with Mr. Peña Nieto by all accounts, Mr. Trump also ran the risk that his supporters would see him as overly accommodating and friendly with Mexico, which some blame for destabilizing the United States as a main pipeline for illegal immigration

On a more personal level, Mr. Trump wanted to show undecided voters that he had the temperament and self-control of a statesman — qualities that many doubt he has — and also demonstrate that Americans did not need to worry every time he opened his mouth in a foreign country. He also hoped to show that he could acquit himself well on the world stage, something that is a clear strength of his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton, a former secretary of state, senator and first lady.

Mrs. Clinton, during a speech on Wednesday in Cincinnati on the importance of American diplomacy, took a clear jab at Mr. Trump by saying that forging international relationships required hard work and personal trust.
“It certainly takes more than trying to make up for a year of insults and insinuations by dropping in on our neighbors for a few hours and then flying home again,” Mrs. Clinton said. “That is not how it works.”
3.      Brazil’s Ousted President
By The New York Times THE EDITORIAL BOARD    AUG. 31, 2016
CreditAndressa Anholete/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Brazil has had four elected presidents since democracy was restored in 1985. Two served out their terms. On WednesdayDilma Rousseff was the second to be ousted while in office amid political upheaval and allegations of wrongdoing.
Senators voted overwhelmingly to impeach Ms. Rousseff for using state bank funds to shore up the government’s budget before her 2014 re-election, which they called a crime; some of her predecessors used similar budget tricks. Ms. Rousseff’s departure marks the end of a transformative 13-year rule by the leftist Workers’ Party, which used state revenues generated by a commodities boom to lift millions out of poverty but lost support as the economy went into recession in recent years.

Ms. Rousseff decried the process as a coup by political opponents who saw her as a threat because she had not stopped a corruption inquiry that ensnared dozens of members of the country’s ruling class. She compared the case against her to the period of military rule when she was one of hundreds of people detained and tortured.

 “Today, the Senate made a decision that will go down as one of the great injustices in history,” she said in a defiant speech after lawmakers voted 61 to 20 to impeach her. “Sixty-one senators subverted the will expressed through 54.5 million votes.”
Ms. Rousseff vowed to fight what she described as an attempt by a coalition of right-wing male politicians, themselves tainted by corruption allegations, to hijack the political process. “The progressive, inclusive and democratic national project that I represent is being halted by a powerful conservative and reactionary force,” she said.
It will be a shame if history proves her right. But Ms. Rousseff’s legacy, and the events that led to her downfall, are more complex than she acknowledges. She became deeply unpopular when recession hit and she failed to create the coalition needed to govern effectively. When corruption investigators zoomed in on her predecessor as president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, she abused her authority by giving him a cabinet post, to shield him from prosecution.

There are concrete steps the government can take to start restoring Brazilians’ faith in their scandal-plagued political elite. Michel Temer, who became interim president in May when Ms. Rousseff was suspended, should allow the corruption investigations to continue and reject legislative initiatives meant to defang prosecutors.